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Forward view

Growth & Market

Predicted ROAS

Where the month lands, not where it is.

A forward projection of return, revenue and spend by platform, built from pacing, seasonality and your live delivery, so you can correct mid-month instead of explaining afterwards.

Already a customer? Open Predicted ROAS in your workspace

6
Checks running inside Predicted ROAS
Continuous
Market and demand movement watched between reviews
3
Named outcomes this feature is measured against
hookology.ai / predicted-roas
  • Correct current-month performance while you can still change the outcome.
  • Set realistic performance expectations with leadership early on.
  • Link daily task delivery directly to your monthly revenue target.

Projection you can act on

Rather than a single number, the projection breaks down by platform and campaign group, with the confidence attached and the assumptions visible.

  • Projected revenue, spend and return to month end
  • Per-platform breakdown behind the headline
  • Confidence band so you know how firm the call is

Tied to your targets

The projection is measured against the goals you set, so a shortfall becomes an action rather than a footnote.

  • Pacing against goal, not against last month
  • Shortfall converted into required daily performance
  • Feeds the daily brief and command centre

The shift

What changes once Predicted ROAS is running

Same team, same accounts. The difference is that the decision is already measured before anyone opens a spreadsheet.

Before

  • Growth decisions are made channel by channel, after the opportunity has moved.
  • The team has to assemble the context behind predicted roas by hand.
  • Important changes are found late, after time or budget has already been lost.

With Hookology

  • Market movement, forecast impact and budget choices are evaluated together.
  • Correct current-month performance while you can still change the outcome.
  • Set realistic performance expectations with leadership early on.
  • Link daily task delivery directly to your monthly revenue target.
Month-to-date tells you where you are. The useful question is where you land.
Why we built Predicted ROAS

Inside the product

What Predicted ROAS looks like on live accounts

This walkthrough uses our Northwind Apparel demo account so you can see the screen fully populated. On your workspace the same view is built from your connected platforms, so the first session already reflects your own numbers.

  • Correct current-month performance while you can still change the outcome.
  • Set realistic performance expectations with leadership early on.
  • Link daily task delivery directly to your monthly revenue target.
hookology.ai / predicted-roas

Workspace / Creative Predictor

Creative Predictor

Northwind Apparel

Creative Predictor

Scored before launch, 214 historical ads

Model accuracy

82%

On the last 60 graded ads

ROAS error

0.31x

Mean absolute error

CTR error

0.18%

Mean absolute error

Wasted spend avoided

£7,410

Ads held back this quarter

CreativePredicted ROASConfidenceWin probability
Rainy Commute - UGC 21s3.4xHigh78%
Aurora Parka - Studio static2.6xHigh61%
Layering guide - Carousel1.9xMedium38%
20% off banner - Static1.2xHigh14%

Recommendation: launch the UGC cut at £180 a day, hold the discount banner. Predictions are reconciled against actuals every week, so the model keeps learning your account.

How confidence works

Three evidence tiers, so nothing is stuck in 'needs data'

Every Predicted ROAS finding is labelled with how much evidence sits behind it. As data accumulates it moves up a tier and the recommendation tightens, so thin signals are never presented with the same weight as proven ones.

Tier 1 - Confirmed

Enough of your own history behind the finding

Read straight from your spend, market and demand data, with enough volume behind it that Predicted ROAS states the position rather than hedging it.

High confidence100%

Tier 2 - Emerging

Live signal, volume still building

The movement is real but young, so it is surfaced as directional and flagged for a second look before budget or roadmap time is committed to it.

Medium confidence62%

Tier 3 - Modelled

Too little data to measure directly

Estimated from the patterns your own account has already proven, and always labelled as modelled so it is never mistaken for a measured result.

Directional34%

Every finding ends on one of four verdicts

Act now

When

Confirmed evidence and material money attached

What happens

It moves to the top of the queue with an owner and the expected impact stated.

Plan it

When

Worth doing, but needs a slot rather than a scramble

What happens

It is sized and scheduled into the next cycle instead of jumping the queue.

Watch

When

Signal forming, evidence still thin

What happens

Tracked daily and escalated automatically the moment it firms up.

No action

When

Noise, or impact too small to be worth an hour

What happens

Closed out with the reason recorded, so it does not resurface every week.

In practice

How Predicted ROAS works week to week

From connecting your accounts to the review call, here is the shape of it, plus the questions teams ask us most before they start.

  1. Step 1

    We connect your accounts

    Your spend, market and demand data are wired up during onboarding, so Predicted ROAS works from your own numbers on day one rather than a sample workspace.

  2. Step 2

    Projection you can act on

    Rather than a single number, the projection breaks down by platform and campaign group, with the confidence attached and the assumptions visible.

  3. Step 3

    Tied to your targets

    The projection is measured against the goals you set, so a shortfall becomes an action rather than a footnote.

  4. Step 4

    We review it with you

    We calibrate the model against your history and your seasonality before it goes live. Nothing sits in a dashboard waiting to be discovered.

Common questions

Most workspaces are live within a few days of the discovery call. Once your platforms are connected we backfill history, so the first session already shows trends rather than an empty screen.

Predicted ROAS reads your spend, market and demand data directly. Nothing is estimated from benchmarks, and every figure can be traced back to the platform it came from.

Projected revenue, spend and return to month end, Per-platform breakdown behind the headline, Confidence band so you know how firm the call is, Pacing against goal, not against last month, and more.

We calibrate the model against your history and your seasonality before it goes live.

Why teams use it

  • Correct current-month performance while you can still change the outcome.
  • Set realistic performance expectations with leadership early on.
  • Link daily task delivery directly to your monthly revenue target.

How we set this up with you

We calibrate the model against your history and your seasonality before it goes live.

Our onboarding process

Works alongside

See Predicted ROAS running on your own data

We build the workspace around your accounts and walk you through it together. No self-serve setup, no trial to configure on your own.

Book a discovery call